Bradford vs Newcastle United U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)University of Bradford Stadium, Bradford, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Newcastle United U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bradford vs Newcastle United U21?
Bradford starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bradford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Newcastle United U21 have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Preston(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 3-5 | National League Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Swansea City U21(away) | 0-2 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Manchester United U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bradford win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Newcastle United U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2024 | Bradford 2-2 Newcastle United U21 | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Bradford vs Newcastle United U21 on Sep 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bradford score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle United U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Newcastle United U21 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bradford sit 2nd in EFL Trophy (6 points from 3 matches) and Newcastle United U21 sit 3rd (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bradford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Newcastle United U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bradford vs Newcastle United U21?
- The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Newcastle United U21.
- Where and when is Bradford vs Newcastle United U21 played?
- Bradford vs Newcastle United U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at University of Bradford Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.