Brann vs PAOK: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Brann Stadion, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for PAOK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brann vs PAOK?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Brann (2,050) and PAOK (2,061).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brann have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PAOK have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Brann win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 PAOK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | PAOK 1-1 Brann | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Nov 27, 2025 | PAOK 1-1 Brann | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Brann score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; PAOK score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| PAOK | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brann vs PAOK?
- The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for PAOK.
- Where and when is Brann vs PAOK played?
- Brann vs PAOK is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Brann Stadion, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.