Brea vs Fraga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, Brea de Aragón
The Footlab AI model makes Brea the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Fraga. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brea vs Fraga?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Brea (1,698) and Fraga (1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brea vs Fraga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brea
4-3-3- MMarzal Garcia
- JJorge Espinal
- HHugo Gracia
- PPablo AgustÃn
- SSamuel Cardo
- MM. Slavov
- AAlejandro Conte
- 12Christian Yus
- DDaniel Porroche
- YYeray Jaraba
- TTatu
Fraga
4-3-3- AAlexis Quibus Berenguer
- CCésar
- RRamón Sanjuan Navarro
- MMarc García
- NNicolás Puch Ricart
- IIker Bautista
- MMarcel Ormo Suñé
- GGenís Serra
- IIvan Visa
- IIván Combes
- DDavid Jimenez Julian
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brea have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Fraga have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Almunia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Andorra CF(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Sietamo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Almudévar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Brea win, 2 draws, 1 Fraga win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Fraga 2-3 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Brea 2-2 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Fraga 1-1 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Brea 1-3 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Brea score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fraga score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brea | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Fraga | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brea sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (14 points from 6 matches) and Fraga sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brea | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Fraga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
A question about Brea vs Fraga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brea vs Fraga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brea the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Fraga.
- Where and when is Brea vs Fraga played?
- Brea vs Fraga is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.