Brechin vs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Carnegie Fuels Stadium at Glebe Park, Brechin
The Footlab model makes Brechin the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Hill Of Beath Hawthorn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brechin vs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Brechin (1,650) and Hill Of Beath Hawthorn (1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brechin have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hill Of Beath Hawthorn have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 4-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(away) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 4-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunipace(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 0-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Brechin score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hill Of Beath Hawthorn score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brechin | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brechin sit 11th in Football League - Lowland League (10 points from 4 matches) and Hill Of Beath Hawthorn sit 14th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brechin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brechin vs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn?
- The Footlab model makes Brechin the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Hill Of Beath Hawthorn.
- Where and when is Brechin vs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn played?
- Brechin vs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Carnegie Fuels Stadium at Glebe Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers