Where and when is Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 played?

Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wheatsheaf Park, in the Premier League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wheatsheaf Park, Staines, Surrey

Brentford U21

Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?

Brentford U21 starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,668).

Brentford U21 win72 %

Draw16 %

Derby County U21 win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford U21 have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Derby County U21 have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brentford U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Stoke City U21(away)	3-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 16, 2026	Wycombe U21(home)	2-0	Premier League Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Rennes(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026	Everton U21(away)	2-4	Professional Development League
Apr 27, 2026	Derby County U21(home)	2-0	Professional Development League

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Reading U21(away)	3-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Brentford U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Derby County U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21 2-0 Derby County U21	Professional Development League
Dec 6, 2024	Derby County U21 1-4 Brentford U21	Premier League Cup
Oct 21, 2024	Brentford U21 0-1 Derby County U21	Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 on Apr 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Brentford U21 score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Brentford U21	2.7	1.3	4	11/15	12/15
Derby County U21	1.3	2.3	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brentford U21 sit 2nd in Premier League Cup (12 points from 6 matches) and Derby County U21 sit 3rd (5 points from 6 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Brentford U21	6	4	0	2	16	5	12
3	Derby County U21	6	1	2	3	15	12	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?: The Footlab model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 played?: Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wheatsheaf Park, in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.