Brighton U21 vs Southampton U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, Lancing, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Southampton U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brighton U21 vs Southampton U21?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Brighton U21 (1,888) and Southampton U21 (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton U21 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Southampton U21 have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Millwall U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(away) | 0-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 4-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Brighton U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Southampton U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Southampton U21 1-0 Brighton U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Southampton U21 2-4 Brighton U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Southampton U21 vs Brighton U21 on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton U21 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Southampton U21 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brighton U21 sit 25th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Southampton U21 sit 17th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Southampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 25 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brighton U21 vs Southampton U21?
- The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Southampton U21.
- Where and when is Brighton U21 vs Southampton U21 played?
- Brighton U21 vs Southampton U21 is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21