Brighton W vs Birmingham City W: prediction and stats
FA WSLMatchday 16Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton W the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Birmingham City W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,206 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brighton W vs Birmingham City W?
On Elo ratings, Brighton W has 2,039 points and Birmingham City W 1,963.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brighton W vs Birmingham City W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brighton W
4-1-4-1- 14F. Kirby
- 15E. Joramo
- 20O. Tvedten
- 8M. Symonds
- 27S. Peskett
- 17R. Rayner
- 18C. Hayes
- 2M. Vanegas
- 5M. Mpomé
- 23M. Auee
- 16C. Nnadozie
Birmingham City W
4-2-3-1- 7Lee Geum-Min
- 8L. Naalsund
- 14S. Amano
- 10W. Leidhammar
- 19C. Cornet
- 57L. Jaynes
- 21M. Turner
- 18R. McKenna
- 30N. Herron
- 2M. Harris
- 23S. Baggaley
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton W have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Birmingham City W have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Liverpool W(home) | 0-3 | FA WSL |
| Nov 11, 2026 | Watford W(home) | 3-1 | WSL Cup |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur W(away) | 1-2 | FA WSL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crystal Palace W(home) | 2-1 | FA WSL |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Wolverhampton W(away) | 6-0 | WSL Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Sunderland W(home) | 3-1 | WSL Cup |
| Nov 8, 2026 | London City Lionesses W(away) | 1-4 | FA WSL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur W(home) | 1-4 | FA WSL |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Aston Villa W(away) | 1-1 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Charlton Athletic W(home) | 1-0 | FA WSL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Brighton W wins, 1 draw, 2 Birmingham City W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Birmingham City W 2-2 Brighton W | FA WSL |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Birmingham City W 0-3 Brighton W | WSL Cup |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Birmingham City W 0-3 Brighton W | WSL Cup |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Birmingham City W 0-2 Brighton W | FA Women's Cup |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Birmingham City W 3-2 Brighton W | WSL Cup |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Brighton W 1-3 Birmingham City W | FA WSL |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham City W vs Brighton W on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton W score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham City W score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton W | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Birmingham City W | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brighton W sit 9th in FA WSL (11 points from 10 matches) and Birmingham City W sit 13th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Brighton W | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | Birmingham City W | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 6 |
A question about Brighton W vs Birmingham City W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brighton W vs Birmingham City W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton W the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Birmingham City W.
- Where and when is Brighton W vs Birmingham City W played?
- Brighton W vs Birmingham City W is played on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the FA WSL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.