Broxburn Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Albyn Park, Broxburn
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Broxburn Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Broxburn Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Broxburn Athletic (1,615) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Broxburn Athletic have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dunipace(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lochee United(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stirling University(away) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Broxburn Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic 2-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Broxburn Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1 Broxburn Athletic | FA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Broxburn Athletic 1-6 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Broxburn Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Broxburn Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broxburn Athletic | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Broxburn Athletic sit 6th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 5 matches) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Broxburn Athletic | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Broxburn Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Broxburn Athletic.
- Where and when is Broxburn Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?
- Broxburn Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Albyn Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers