Brühl vs Lugano II: result 1-0 and analysis
1. Liga PromotionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Paul-Grüninger-Stadion, St. Gallen
Full time
What was the result of Brühl vs Lugano II?
Brühl won 1-0 on October 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 46′F. DortaBrühl
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brühl have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Lugano II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | SC Kriens(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Servette II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Delémont(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Cham(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Servette II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Delémont(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Cham(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Bavois(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Brühl score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano II score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brühl | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Lugano II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brühl sit 5th in 1. Liga Promotion (7 points from 4 matches) and Lugano II sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brühl | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 | Lugano II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy