Brusque vs Joinville: result 5-4 and analysis
Catarinense - 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on January 26, 2020 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Brusque vs Joinville?
Brusque won 5-4 on January 26, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 11′Lucas Henrique dos SantosJoinville
- 25′Marco AntônioBrusque
- 32′IansonBrusque
- 38′Matheus TrindadeJoinville
- 46′Gustavo BrandenburgJoinville
- 75′FernandinhoJoinville
- 78′EduBrusque
- 90′Thiago AlagoanoBrusque
- 90′EduBrusque
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brusque have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Joinville have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2020 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 0-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Manaus FC(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Manaus FC(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Ituano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 28, 2019 | Ituano(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2020 | Tubarao(home) | 1-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jun 9, 2019 | Ferroviária(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Maringá(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| May 25, 2019 | Avenida(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| May 19, 2019 | Avenida(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Brusque score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 0.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusque | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Joinville | 0.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brusque sit 1st in Catarinense - 1 (12 points from 6 matches) and Joinville sit 4th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Joinville | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy