Brusque vs Tubarao: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D16th FinalsKick-off on June 3, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Brusque vs Tubarao?
Brusque won 1-0 on June 3, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 63′Hélio ParaíbaBrusque
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brusque have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Tubarao have 6, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2018 | Sao Jose(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| May 20, 2018 | Prudentópolis(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| May 13, 2018 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 5, 2018 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 5-1 | Serie D |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Prudentópolis(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2018 | Cianorte(away) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| May 20, 2018 | Novo Hamburgo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| May 12, 2018 | Ferroviária(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 6, 2018 | Ferroviária(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Novo Hamburgo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Brusque score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tubarao score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusque | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Tubarao | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy