Budissa Bautzen vs Auerbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Müllerwiese, Bautzen
The Footlab model makes Auerbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budissa Bautzen vs Auerbach?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Budissa Bautzen (1,709) and Auerbach (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budissa Bautzen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Auerbach have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Einheit Rudolstadt(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eilenburg(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 0-14 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Plauen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfL Halle(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | SC Freital(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Budissa Bautzen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Auerbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach 4-2 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Budissa Bautzen 0-3 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Auerbach 4-0 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Auerbach 1-1 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Budissa Bautzen 1-3 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Budissa Bautzen score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Auerbach score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Auerbach | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budissa Bautzen sit 13th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (1 points from 2 matches) and Auerbach sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Auerbach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Budissa Bautzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budissa Bautzen vs Auerbach?
- The Footlab model makes Auerbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is Budissa Bautzen vs Auerbach played?
- Budissa Bautzen vs Auerbach is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Müllerwiese, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.