Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Müllerwiese, Bautzen
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freital the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freital wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital?
SC Freital starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Budissa Bautzen
Not enough data to predict the Budissa Bautzen lineup.
SC Freital
Not enough data to predict the SC Freital lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budissa Bautzen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SC Freital have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 23, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Weissenfels(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Krieschow(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Weissenfels(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Krieschow(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Budissa Bautzen wins, 0 draws, 3 SC Freital wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 31, 2025 | SC Freital 4-1 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 2, 2024 | SC Freital 1-2 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Budissa Bautzen 0-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 6, 2023 | SC Freital 3-0 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Budissa Bautzen score 1.5 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freital score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| SC Freital | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budissa Bautzen sit 12th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (6 points from 6 matches) and SC Freital sit 11th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SC Freital | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Budissa Bautzen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Freital the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital played?
- Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Müllerwiese, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.