Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pod Goricom, Podgorica
The Footlab model makes Buducnost Podgorica the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Jezero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Buducnost Podgorica (1,525) and Jezero (1,462).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buducnost Podgorica have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Jezero have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutjeska(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 5-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buducnost Podgorica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Jezero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica 2-0 Jezero | First League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Jezero 1-0 Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Buducnost Podgorica 1-1 Jezero | First League |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Jezero 1-2 Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| May 14, 2025 | Buducnost Podgorica 2-3 Jezero | First League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Jezero 3-3 Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
Last archived meeting: Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buducnost Podgorica score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jezero score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buducnost Podgorica | 0.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Jezero | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buducnost Podgorica sit 9th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Jezero sit 5th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jezero | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Buducnost Podgorica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero?
- The Footlab model makes Buducnost Podgorica the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Jezero.
- Where and when is Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero played?
- Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero is played on September 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pod Goricom, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.