Buffles vs Espoir Savalou: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal de Parakou, Parakou
The Footlab model makes Buffles the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Espoir Savalou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buffles vs Espoir Savalou?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Buffles (1,767) and Espoir Savalou (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buffles have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Espoir Savalou have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Dragons(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Bani Gansè(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Damissa(away) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Espoir Savalou(home) | 2-3 | Championnat National |
| May 23, 2026 | AS Sobemap(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | AS Cotonou(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Hodio(home) | 2-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kraké(away) | 2-2 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Buffles(away) | 3-2 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buffles win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Espoir Savalou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Buffles 2-3 Espoir Savalou | Championnat National |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Espoir Savalou 0-3 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Buffles 2-1 Espoir Savalou | Championnat National |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Espoir Savalou 0-0 Buffles | Championnat National |
| May 18, 2022 | Espoir Savalou 1-0 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Buffles 1-2 Espoir Savalou | Championnat National |
Last archived meeting: Buffles vs Espoir Savalou on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buffles score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Espoir Savalou score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffles | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Espoir Savalou | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buffles sit 5th in Championnat National (50 points from 33 matches) and Espoir Savalou sit 7th (48 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Buffles | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 | Espoir Savalou | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buffles vs Espoir Savalou?
- The Footlab model makes Buffles the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Espoir Savalou.
- Where and when is Buffles vs Espoir Savalou played?
- Buffles vs Espoir Savalou is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal de Parakou, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.