Buffles vs Hodio: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal de Parakou, Parakou
The Footlab AI model makes Buffles the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Hodio. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buffles vs Hodio?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Buffles (1,767) and Hodio (1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buffles vs Hodio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buffles
4-3-3- 9H. Okpala
- 17C. Onwubuchie
- 11Abayomi Olorunshola Ayinla
- 6A. Linkpon
- 11K. Gani
- 5G. Ahoudo
- 15O. Ajayi
- 12F. Gbemaito
- 18K. Dossa
- 13Kokou Audrey Ganke
- 16S. Obassa
Hodio
Not enough data to predict the Hodio lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buffles have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hodio have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Djeffa(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Loto Popo(away) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 3-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Dragons(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Bani Gansè(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Damissa(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AS Sobemap(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Cotonou(home) | 3-0 | Championnat National |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Espoir Savalou(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Buffles wins, 2 draws, 1 Hodio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Hodio 1-0 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Buffles 2-1 Hodio | Championnat National |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Hodio 1-2 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Buffles 0-0 Hodio | Championnat National |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Buffles 0-0 Hodio | Championnat National |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Hodio 0-1 Buffles | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
Buffles score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hodio score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffles | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Hodio | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buffles sit 5th in Championnat National (50 points from 33 matches) and Hodio sit 9th (44 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Buffles | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 9 | Hodio | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 44 |
A question about Buffles vs Hodio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buffles vs Hodio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buffles the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Hodio.
- Where and when is Buffles vs Hodio played?
- Buffles vs Hodio is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal de Parakou, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.