Where and when is Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21 played?

Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21 is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Lancashire FA County Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Lancashire FA County Ground, Leyland, Lancashire

Burnley U21

Aston Villa U21

The Footlab model makes Aston Villa U21 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Burnley U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Burnley U21 (1,737) and Aston Villa U21 (1,719).

Burnley U21 win34 %

Draw23 %

Aston Villa U21 win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Aston Villa U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burnley U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Fulham U21(away)	3-4	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026	Wolves U21(away)	0-2	Premier League Cup
May 14, 2026	Sunderland U21(away)	2-1	Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026	West Bromwich Albion U21(home)	2-1	Premier League Cup
Apr 12, 2026	Blackburn Rovers U21(home)	0-2	Premier League 2 Division One

Aston Villa U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Brighton U21(home)	2-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Wigan(away)	2-3	EFL Trophy
Jul 21, 2026	Tamworth(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026	Manchester City U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 24, 2026	Southampton U21(away)	3-3	Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Burnley U21	1.6	1.9	1	11/15	10/15
Aston Villa U21	1.9	2.0	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burnley U21 sit 27th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Aston Villa U21 sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Aston Villa U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
27	Burnley U21	1	0	0	1	3	4	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?: The Footlab model makes Aston Villa U21 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Burnley U21.
Where and when is Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21 played?: Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21 is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Lancashire FA County Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.