Burnley U21 vs Leicester City U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Lancashire FA County Ground, Leyland, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Leicester City U21 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Burnley U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley U21 vs Leicester City U21?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Burnley U21 (1,736) and Leicester City U21 (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leicester City U21 have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fulham U21(away) | 3-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolves U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Plymouth U21(home) | 3-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Leeds United U21(away) | 3-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Burnley U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Leicester City U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2023 | Burnley U21 1-2 Leicester City U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Leicester City U21 3-4 Burnley U21 | Premier League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Burnley U21 vs Leicester City U21 on Dec 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester City U21 score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley U21 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Leicester City U21 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley U21 vs Leicester City U21?
- The Footlab model makes Leicester City U21 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Burnley U21.
- Where and when is Burnley U21 vs Leicester City U21 played?
- Burnley U21 vs Leicester City U21 is played on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Lancashire FA County Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21