Match

Burnley U21 vs Manchester United U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lancashire FA County Ground, Leyland, Lancashire

Burnley U21Manchester United U21

The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Burnley U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burnley U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Manchester United U21 starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,726).

Burnley U21 win20 %
Draw20 %
Manchester United U21 win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Manchester United U21 have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burnley U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Fulham U21(away)3-4Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026Wolves U21(away)0-2Premier League Cup
May 14, 2026Sunderland U21(away)2-1Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)2-1Premier League Cup
Apr 12, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)0-2Premier League 2 Division One
Manchester United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)5-0Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 31, 2026Altrincham(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Brighton U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
May 8, 2026Manchester City U21(away)4-3Premier League 2 Division One
May 4, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burnley U211.61.9111/1510/15
Manchester United U211.91.439/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burnley U21 sit 22nd in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Manchester United U21 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Manchester United U211100503
22Burnley U211001340

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burnley U21 vs Manchester United U21?
The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Burnley U21.
Where and when is Burnley U21 vs Manchester United U21 played?
Burnley U21 vs Manchester United U21 is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lancashire FA County Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Burnley U21 and Manchester United U21

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