Burton Albion vs Notts County: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Notts County have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Luton(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Burton Albion wins, 0 draws, 3 Notts County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Notts County 2-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 3, 2013 | Notts County 1-0 Burton Albion | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Notts County vs Burton Albion on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Notts County | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 3rd in EFL Trophy (3 points from 3 matches) and Notts County sit 4th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Burton AlbionGroup 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Notts CountyGroup 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy