Bury Town vs Spalding United: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Atalian Servest Stadium, Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
Full time
What was the result of Bury Town vs Spalding United?
Bury Town and Spalding United drew 1-1 on October 3, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Spalding United win at 46%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury Town have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Spalding United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-4 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hanley Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bury Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Spalding United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Spalding United 2-1 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Bury Town 1-2 Spalding United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Spalding United vs Bury Town on Nov 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bury Town score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spalding United score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury Town | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Spalding United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bury Town vs Spalding United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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