Cabeza Buey vs Puebla Calzada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 · Matchday 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cabeza Buey the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Puebla Calzada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cabeza Buey wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cabeza Buey vs Puebla Calzada?
On Elo ratings, Cabeza Buey has 1,794 points and Puebla Calzada 1,721.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cabeza Buey vs Puebla Calzada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cabeza Buey
Not enough data to predict the Cabeza Buey lineup.
Puebla Calzada
Not enough data to predict the Puebla Calzada lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cabeza Buey have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Puebla Calzada have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gévora(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santa Amalia(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CD Zafra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Cabeza Buey win, 1 draw, 1 Puebla Calzada win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Puebla Calzada 2-1 Cabeza Buey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 10, 2026 | Cabeza Buey 1-0 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Puebla Calzada 0-0 Cabeza Buey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Puebla Calzada vs Cabeza Buey on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cabeza Buey score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla Calzada score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabeza Buey | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Puebla Calzada | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cabeza Buey sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (13 points from 10 matches) and Puebla Calzada sit 6th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Puebla Calzada | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Cabeza Buey | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Cabeza Buey vs Puebla Calzada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cabeza Buey vs Puebla Calzada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cabeza Buey the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Puebla Calzada.
- Where and when is Cabeza Buey vs Puebla Calzada played?
- Cabeza Buey vs Puebla Calzada is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.