Caen vs Guingamp: result 1-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on November 26, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
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What was the result of Caen vs Guingamp?
Caen and Guingamp drew 1-1 on November 26, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 79′R. RodelinCaen
- 85′Nill De PauwGuingamp
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Guingamp have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2016 | Marseille(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Nice(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Nancy(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2016 | Nancy(away) | 2-4 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Saint Etienne(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2016 | Bordeaux(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Dijon(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Angers(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2016 | Bastia(away) | 1-1 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Lyon(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Guingamp win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2016 | Guingamp 1-1 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Caen 2-1 Guingamp | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Caen 0-2 Guingamp | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 3, 2014 | Guingamp 5-1 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 15, 2013 | Guingamp 1-0 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 19, 2012 | Caen 1-2 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guingamp score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Guingamp | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy