Caen vs Lille: result 0-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on February 18, 2017 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Full time
What was the result of Caen vs Lille?
Lille won 0-1 on February 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 69′A. El GhaziLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lille have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Dijon(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 7, 2017 | Bordeaux(home) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Guingamp(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 1, 2017 | Angers(away) | 1-3 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Bastia(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Angers(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 7, 2017 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Lorient(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Nantes(home) | 1-0 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Lyon(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Caen win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Lille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2016 | Lille 4-2 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 3, 2016 | Lille 1-0 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Caen 1-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Lille 1-0 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2014 | Caen 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 11, 2014 | Lille 6-6 Caen | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lille | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy