Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town: result 1-3 and analysis
Welsh CupSemi-finalsKick-off on April 1, 2017 at 04:15 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town?
Bala Town won 1-3 on April 1, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 28′Stuart JonesCaernarfon Town (o.g.)
- 77′Lee HuntBala Town
- 88′K. SmithBala Town
- 90′Lee HuntBala Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Bala Town have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | Llanfair United(away) | 7-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Rhyl(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Llangefni Town(away) | 6-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 30, 2016 | Conwy Borough(away) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2017 | Bangor City(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 12, 2017 | The New Saints(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2017 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Guilsfield(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 3.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 14; Bala Town score 2.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 3.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/14 | 12/14 |
| Bala Town | 2.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy