Caldense vs Ferroviária: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 2Kick-off on June 13, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Ronaldo Junqueira, Poços de Caldas, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Caldense vs Ferroviária?
Ferroviária won 0-1 on June 13, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 71′GleysonFerroviária
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ferroviária have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2021 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 1, 2021 | Pouso Alegre(away) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Apr 25, 2021 | BOA(away) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Coimbra(away) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2021 | Uberlandia(home) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| May 15, 2021 | Sao Paulo(away) | 2-4 | Paulista - A1 |
| May 9, 2021 | São Caetano(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| May 7, 2021 | Ituano(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| May 3, 2021 | Mirassol(away) | 3-1 | Paulista - A1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caldense score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviária score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldense | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ferroviária | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy