Caledonian Braves vs Auchinleck Talbot: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Alliance Park, Motherwell
The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Caledonian Braves. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caledonian Braves vs Auchinleck Talbot?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Caledonian Braves (1,679) and Auchinleck Talbot (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caledonian Braves have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Auchinleck Talbot have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Clydebank(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Beith(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 6-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Beith(home) | 7-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 9-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caledonian Braves score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Auchinleck Talbot score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caledonian Braves | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Auchinleck Talbot | 3.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caledonian Braves sit 7th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 6 matches) and Auchinleck Talbot sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auchinleck Talbot | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Caledonian Braves | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caledonian Braves vs Auchinleck Talbot?
- The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Caledonian Braves.
- Where and when is Caledonian Braves vs Auchinleck Talbot played?
- Caledonian Braves vs Auchinleck Talbot is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Alliance Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
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