Canada vs Cuba: result 4-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on July 4, 2023 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas
Full time
What was the result of Canada vs Cuba?
Canada won 4-2 on July 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 21′J. HoilettCanada (pen.)
- 26′J. OsorioCanada
- 45′L. ParadelaCuba (pen.)
- 47′J. NelsonCanada
- 61′L. MillarCanada
- 89′M. ReyesCuba (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canada have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cuba have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2023 | Guatemala(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 27, 2023 | Guadeloupe(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 19, 2023 | USA(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 15, 2023 | Panama(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Honduras(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2023 | Guadeloupe(home) | 1-4 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 28, 2023 | Guatemala(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Uruguay(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Chile(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Guadeloupe(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Canada win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cuba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2019 | Cuba 0-1 Canada | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Canada 6-0 Cuba | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 24, 2019 | Canada 7-0 Cuba | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Canada score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cuba score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cuba | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy