Cape Town City vs University of Pretoria: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)DHL Cape Town Stadium, Cape Town, WC
The Footlab model makes Cape Town City the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for University of Pretoria. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cape Town City vs University of Pretoria?
Cape Town City starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cape Town City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; University of Pretoria have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Casric Stars(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Magesi(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hope FC(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(home) | 6-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Upington City(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Cape Town City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 University of Pretoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Cape Town City 4-0 University of Pretoria | 1st Division |
| Nov 29, 2025 | University of Pretoria 0-3 Cape Town City | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Cape Town City vs University of Pretoria on Jan 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cape Town City score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; University of Pretoria score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Town City | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| University of Pretoria | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cape Town City sit 12th in 1st Division (0 points from 1 matches) and University of Pretoria sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cape Town City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | University of Pretoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cape Town City vs University of Pretoria?
- The Footlab model makes Cape Town City the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for University of Pretoria.
- Where and when is Cape Town City vs University of Pretoria played?
- Cape Town City vs University of Pretoria is played on December 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at DHL Cape Town Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.