Cape Town City vs Upington City: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)DHL Cape Town Stadium, Cape Town, WC
The Footlab model makes Cape Town City the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Upington City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cape Town City vs Upington City?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Cape Town City (1,720) and Upington City (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cape Town City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Upington City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Casric Stars(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Magesi(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NWU FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Baroka FC(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Hungry Lions(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | University of Pretoria(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Cape Town City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Upington City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Upington City 0-2 Cape Town City | 1st Division |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Cape Town City 0-1 Upington City | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Cape Town City 0-0 Upington City | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Upington City vs Cape Town City on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cape Town City score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Upington City score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Town City | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Upington City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cape Town City sit 12th in 1st Division (0 points from 1 matches) and Upington City sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Upington City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Cape Town City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cape Town City vs Upington City?
- The Footlab model makes Cape Town City the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Upington City.
- Where and when is Cape Town City vs Upington City played?
- Cape Town City vs Upington City is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at DHL Cape Town Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.