Capivariano vs São Caetano: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa PaulistaRound of 16Kick-off on August 24, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Arena Capivari, Capivari, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Capivariano vs São Caetano?
Capivariano won 2-1 on August 24, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 19′Vinicius PopóCapivariano
- 36′WermesonSão Caetano
- 90′Lucas CerqueiraCapivariano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Capivariano have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; São Caetano have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2024 | RB Bragantino B(away) | 2-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Primavera SP(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Rio Branco SP(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Sao Bento(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 13, 2024 | RB Bragantino B(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2024 | Portuguesa(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Oeste(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 4, 2024 | USAC(away) | 3-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Juventus(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 20, 2024 | EC São Bernardo(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
How many goals should we expect?
Capivariano score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; São Caetano score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capivariano | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| São Caetano | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy