Carchá vs Aurora: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionAperturaKick-off on September 20, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Ramón Ponce Way, San Pedro Carchá
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What was the result of Carchá vs Aurora?
Carchá won 2-1 on September 20, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carchá have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Aurora have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2015 | Deportivo Jocotán(away) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Sep 2, 2015 | Cabrones de Bárcena(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Quirigua(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Sayaxché(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2015 | Mixco(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2015 | Sayaxché(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 2, 2015 | Mixco(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Sacachispas(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Deportivo Sanarate(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2015 | Comunicaciones II(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Carchá score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carchá | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Aurora | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Carchá vs Aurora?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy