Carchá vs Aurora: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionAperturaKick-off on September 20, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Ramón Ponce Way, San Pedro Carchá
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What was the result of Carchá vs Aurora?
Carchá won 2-1 on September 20, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carchá have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Aurora have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2015 | Deportivo Jocotán(away) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Sep 2, 2015 | Cabrones de Bárcena(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Quirigua(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Sayaxché(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2015 | Mixco(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2015 | Sayaxché(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 2, 2015 | Mixco(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Sacachispas(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Deportivo Sanarate(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2015 | Comunicaciones II(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Carchá score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carchá | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Aurora | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy