Cardassar vs Formentera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal D'esports Sant Llorenç des Cardassar, Sant Llorenç des Cardassar
The Footlab model makes Formentera the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cardassar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardassar vs Formentera?
Formentera starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardassar have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Formentera have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Constància(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cardassar win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Formentera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Formentera 3-1 Cardassar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Cardassar 1-2 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Formentera vs Cardassar on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardassar score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Formentera score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardassar | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Formentera | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardassar sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (44 points from 34 matches) and Formentera sit 6th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40 | 29 | 52 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 55 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardassar vs Formentera?
- The Footlab model makes Formentera the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cardassar.
- Where and when is Cardassar vs Formentera played?
- Cardassar vs Formentera is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal D'esports Sant Llorenç des Cardassar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.