Cardiff City U21 vs Colchester United U21: prediction and stats
Professional Development LeagueGroup StageKick-off on December 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff International Sports Stadium, Cardiff (Caerdydd)
The Footlab model makes Cardiff City U21 the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Colchester United U21. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff City U21 vs Colchester United U21?
Cardiff City U21 starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff City U21 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Colchester United U21 have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wigan Athletic U21(away) | 5-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Barnsley U21(home) | 1-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21(home) | 4-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Liverpool U21(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bolton Wanderers Res.(away) | 0-7 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fleetwood Town U21(away) | 4-0 | Professional Development League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Bristol City U21(away) | 1-3 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Charlton Athletic U21(away) | 2-2 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cardiff City U21 win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Colchester United U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Colchester United U21 1-1 Cardiff City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Cardiff City U21 4-1 Colchester United U21 | Professional Development League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Cardiff City U21 1-1 Colchester United U21 | Professional Development League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Colchester United U21 0-1 Cardiff City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Colchester United U21 2-0 Cardiff City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Cardiff City U21 1-1 Colchester United U21 | Professional Development League |
Last archived meeting: Colchester United U21 vs Cardiff City U21 on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff City U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester United U21 score 1.4 and concede 3.2. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City U21 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Colchester United U21 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff City U21 sit 4th in Professional Development League (3 points from 2 matches) and Colchester United U21 sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cardiff City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Colchester United U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff City U21 vs Colchester United U21?
- The Footlab model makes Cardiff City U21 the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Colchester United U21.
- Where and when is Cardiff City U21 vs Colchester United U21 played?
- Cardiff City U21 vs Colchester United U21 is played on December 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Cardiff International Sports Stadium, in the Professional Development League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026Sheffield Wednesday U21vsWigan Athletic U21
- Sep 13, 2026Sheffield Wednesday U21vsCharlton Athletic U21
- Sep 13, 2026Queens Park Rangers U21vsFleetwood Town U21
- Sep 14, 2026Swansea City U21vsHuddersfield Town U21
- Sep 14, 2026Sheffield United U21vsCardiff City U21
- Sep 15, 2026Coventry City U21vsBarnsley U21
- Sep 15, 2026Peterborough United U21vsBristol City U21
- Sep 15, 2026Millwall U21vsBolton Wanderers Res.