Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Comunal Bernardo Veach, Cariari
The Footlab model makes Cariari Pococi the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for AD Carmelita. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Cariari Pococi (1,541) and AD Carmelita (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cariari Pococi have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; AD Carmelita have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 29, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Santa Ana(home) | 2-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cariari Pococi win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 AD Carmelita win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Cariari Pococi 2-1 AD Carmelita | Liga de Ascenso |
| Jan 23, 2026 | AD Carmelita 1-1 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 11, 2025 | AD Carmelita 1-1 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Cariari Pococi 0-2 AD Carmelita | Copa Costa Rica |
| Sep 24, 2025 | AD Carmelita 1-1 Cariari Pococi | Copa Costa Rica |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Cariari Pococi 1-1 AD Carmelita | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cariari Pococi score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AD Carmelita score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cariari Pococi | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| AD Carmelita | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cariari Pococi sit 6th in Liga de Ascenso (6 points from 2 matches) and AD Carmelita sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cariari Pococi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | AD Carmelita | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?
- The Footlab model makes Cariari Pococi the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for AD Carmelita.
- Where and when is Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita played?
- Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Comunal Bernardo Veach, in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.