Carlisle vs Bournemouth: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 20, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
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What was the result of Carlisle vs Bournemouth?
Carlisle won 2-1 on August 20, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 49′T. TaiwoCarlisle
- 60′H. ArterBournemouth (pen.)
- 77′N. ByrneCarlisle (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Bournemouth have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2011 | Rochdale(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Bury(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Oldham(away) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Notts County(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2011 | Stevenage(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 5-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Charlton(away) | 0-3 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Bournemouth score 2.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 1/4 | 2/4 |
| Bournemouth | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy