Carlisle vs Lincoln: result 1-0 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 19, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Lincoln?
Carlisle won 1-0 on April 19, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 76′M. JonesCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lincoln have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | Stevenage(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Cambridge United(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Forest Green(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Macclesfield(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Mar 18, 2019 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Carlisle win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lincoln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | Lincoln 2-0 Carlisle | FA Cup |
| Oct 23, 2018 | Lincoln 2-2 Carlisle | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2018 | Carlisle 0-1 Lincoln | League Two |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Lincoln 4-1 Carlisle | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Lincoln | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy