Carlisle vs Stevenage: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 24, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Stevenage?
Carlisle won 1-0 on September 24, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 27′Peter Michael MurphyCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Stevenage have 3, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2011 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Sep 13, 2011 | Tranmere(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Hartlepool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 6, 2011 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2011 | Notts County(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 13, 2011 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Oldham(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Rochdale(home) | 4-2 | League One |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 0-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 12; Stevenage score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/12 | 9/12 |
| Stevenage | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy