Carlisle vs Stevenage: result 1-0 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 20, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
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What was the result of Carlisle vs Stevenage?
Carlisle won 1-0 on February 20, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 59′Jabo IbehreCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Stevenage have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Everton(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Jan 23, 2016 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | Cambridge United(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Feb 9, 2016 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Jan 30, 2016 | York(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Carlisle win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stevenage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | Stevenage 0-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Stevenage 1-0 Carlisle | League Two |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Carlisle 3-0 Stevenage | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Carlisle 0-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Stevenage 1-3 Carlisle | League One |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Carlisle 2-1 Stevenage | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Stevenage | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy