Carlisle vs Swindon Town: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 5, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Swindon Town?
Carlisle won 1-0 on April 5, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 38′G. MadineCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | Tranmere(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Mar 25, 2014 | Shrewsbury(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Notts County(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Stevenage(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Mar 12, 2014 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Mar 25, 2014 | Tranmere(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Bristol City(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Mar 11, 2014 | Wolves(home) | 1-4 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Carlisle win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Swindon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | Swindon Town 3-1 Carlisle | League One |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Swindon Town 4-0 Carlisle | League One |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Carlisle 2-2 Swindon Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Carlisle on Nov 30, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy