Carquefou vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: result 2-1 and analysis
Ligue 3Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 14, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou
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What was the result of Carquefou vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Carquefou won 2-1 on December 14, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 31′Christian Bekamenga Bekamengo AymardCarquefou
- 33′Christian Bekamenga Bekamengo AymardCarquefou
- 69′Ablai BaldéFréjus St-Raphaël
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carquefou have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2012 | Saint-Léonard Kreisker(away) | 5-0 | Coupe de France |
| Nov 30, 2012 | Epinal(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Uzès Pont du Gard(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Le Rheu(away) | 2-0 | Coupe de France |
| Nov 9, 2012 | Creteil(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2012 | Uzès Pont du Gard(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Amiens(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 9, 2012 | Epinal(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 19, 2012 | Creteil(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Carquefou score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carquefou | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy