Casalarreina vs Haro Deportivo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Soto, Haro
The Footlab model makes Haro Deportivo the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Casalarreina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casalarreina vs Haro Deportivo?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Casalarreina (1,627) and Haro Deportivo (1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casalarreina have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Haro Deportivo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | La Calzada(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 4, 2025 | Autol(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tedeón(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | River Ebro(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Vianés(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Náxara(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Marcial(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Varea(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Casalarreina win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Haro Deportivo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Haro Deportivo 2-0 Casalarreina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Casalarreina 0-0 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Haro Deportivo 0-0 Casalarreina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Casalarreina 3-2 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Casalarreina 1-1 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Haro Deportivo 1-1 Casalarreina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Haro Deportivo vs Casalarreina on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Casalarreina score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Haro Deportivo score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casalarreina | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Haro Deportivo | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 46 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casalarreina vs Haro Deportivo?
- The Footlab model makes Haro Deportivo the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Casalarreina.
- Where and when is Casalarreina vs Haro Deportivo played?
- Casalarreina vs Haro Deportivo is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.