Casarano vs Ugento: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 12Kick-off on November 17, 2024 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
Full time
What was the result of Casarano vs Ugento?
Casarano won 2-1 on November 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′?Ugento
- 79′?Casarano
- 85′?Casarano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casarano have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Ugento have 2, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | Nardò(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Angri Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Nocerina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | USD Palmese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Gravina(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Real Acerrana(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ischia(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Casarano score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ugento score 0.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casarano | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ugento | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/12 | 4/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy