Casric Stars vs Midlands Wanderers: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Solomon Mahlangu Stadium, KwaMhlanga
The Footlab model makes Casric Stars the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Midlands Wanderers. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casric Stars vs Midlands Wanderers?
Casric Stars starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casric Stars have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Midlands Wanderers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Gomora United FC(home) | 3-1 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Upington City(away) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Baroka FC(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Leicesterfield(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magesi(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 2-6 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 6, 2026 | Gomora United FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Highbury(away) | 1-3 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Casric Stars win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Midlands Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers 3-3 Casric Stars | 1st Division |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Casric Stars 0-0 Midlands Wanderers | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Midlands Wanderers vs Casric Stars on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Casric Stars score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Midlands Wanderers score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casric Stars | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Midlands Wanderers | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casric Stars sit 1st in 1st Division (3 points from 1 matches) and Midlands Wanderers sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casric Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Midlands Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casric Stars vs Midlands Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Casric Stars the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Midlands Wanderers.
- Where and when is Casric Stars vs Midlands Wanderers played?
- Casric Stars vs Midlands Wanderers is played on September 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Solomon Mahlangu Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.