Castanhal U20 vs Paragominas U20: prediction and stats
Paraense U20Regular Season - 4Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Castanhal U20 the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Paragominas U20. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castanhal U20 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,653 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castanhal U20 vs Paragominas U20?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Castanhal U20 (1,531) and Paragominas U20 (1,500).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castanhal U20 vs Paragominas U20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castanhal U20
Not enough data to predict the Castanhal U20 lineup.
Paragominas U20
Not enough data to predict the Paragominas U20 lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castanhal U20 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Paragominas U20 have 0, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Capitão Poço U20(away) | 1-2 | Paraense U20 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Meninos de Ouro U20(home) | 1-1 | Paraense U20 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Sao Miguel U20(away) | 5-0 | Paraense U20 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Paysandu PA U20(away) | 1-3 | Paraense U20 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Paysandu PA U20(home) | 1-1 | Paraense U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Capitão Poço U20(home) | 0-0 | Paraense U20 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Meninos de Ouro U20(away) | 0-0 | Paraense U20 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castanhal U20 score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Paragominas U20 score 0.0 and concede 0.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal U20 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Paragominas U20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castanhal U20 sit 8th in Paraense U20 (4 points from 3 matches) and Paragominas U20 sit 20th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Castanhal U20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Paragominas U20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
A question about Castanhal U20 vs Paragominas U20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castanhal U20 vs Paragominas U20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castanhal U20 the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Paragominas U20.
- Where and when is Castanhal U20 vs Paragominas U20 played?
- Castanhal U20 vs Paragominas U20 is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Paraense U20.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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