Castanhal vs Real Desportivo Ariquemes: result 2-3 and analysis
Copa Verde1st RoundKick-off on February 19, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal, Pará
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What was the result of Castanhal vs Real Desportivo Ariquemes?
Real Desportivo Ariquemes won 2-3 on February 19, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 15′Léo MineiroReal Desportivo Ariquemes
- 21′BrunoCastanhal
- 31′Léo MineiroReal Desportivo Ariquemes (pen.)
- 50′Léo MineiroReal Desportivo Ariquemes
- 76′J. MurilloCastanhal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castanhal have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Real Desportivo Ariquemes have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Sao Francisco(home) | 1-0 | Paraense |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Bragantino PA(away) | 0-0 | Paraense |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Águia de Marabá(home) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Moto Club(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Pacajus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | Tocantinópolis(home) | 0-4 | Copa Verde |
| May 15, 2022 | União Cacoalense(home) | 1-1 | Rondoniense |
| May 7, 2022 | União Cacoalense(away) | 1-0 | Rondoniense |
| Apr 30, 2022 | União Cacoalense(away) | 0-1 | Rondoniense |
| Apr 24, 2022 | União Cacoalense(home) | 0-0 | Rondoniense |
How many goals should we expect?
Castanhal score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Desportivo Ariquemes score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Desportivo Ariquemes | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy