Castanhal vs Tuna Luso: result 1-1 and analysis
Paraense1st Phase - 3Kick-off on March 10, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal, Pará
Full time
What was the result of Castanhal vs Tuna Luso?
Castanhal and Tuna Luso drew 1-1 on March 10, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 63′?Tuna Luso
- 90′?Castanhal (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Castanhal have 7 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tuna Luso have 0, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2021 | Itupiranga(home) | 1-0 | Paraense |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Paysandu(away) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Aug 20, 2020 | Remo(away) | 0-2 | Paraense |
| Aug 13, 2020 | Remo(home) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Aug 4, 2020 | Independente PA(home) | 2-1 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | Independente PA(home) | 2-2 | Paraense |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Águia de Marabá(away) | 2-3 | Paraense |
How many goals should we expect?
Castanhal score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; Tuna Luso score 2.0 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/14 | 9/14 |
| Tuna Luso | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castanhal sit 7th in Paraense (8 points from 6 matches) and Tuna Luso sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tuna Luso | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Castanhal vs Tuna Luso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy