Častkovce vs MŠK Senec: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 16Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Častkovce, Častkovce
The Footlab model makes Častkovce the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for MŠK Senec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Častkovce vs MŠK Senec?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Častkovce (1,489) and MŠK Senec (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Častkovce have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; MŠK Senec have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-4 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nitra(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MŠK Senec(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Galanta(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Beluša(home) | 1-4 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Malacky(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Rača(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Častkovce win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 MŠK Senec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | MŠK Senec 3-2 Častkovce | 3. liga - West |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MŠK Senec 2-1 Častkovce | 3. liga - West |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Častkovce 2-1 MŠK Senec | 3. liga - West |
Last archived meeting: MŠK Senec vs Častkovce on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Častkovce score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; MŠK Senec score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Častkovce | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| MŠK Senec | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Častkovce | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 31 | 65 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Častkovce vs MŠK Senec?
- The Footlab model makes Častkovce the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for MŠK Senec.
- Where and when is Častkovce vs MŠK Senec played?
- Častkovce vs MŠK Senec is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Častkovce, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.