Castro vs Guarnizo: result 1-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on December 19, 2020 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
Full time
What was the result of Castro vs Guarnizo?
Guarnizo won 1-2 on December 19, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 58′Miguel SazaGuarnizo
- 72′Miguel ZorrillaCastro
- 88′David Hoyuela RiveroGuarnizo
Official lineup for Castro vs Guarnizo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Castro
- AAitor Calvo
- MMiguel Zorrilla
- LLlamosas
- DDaniel Colina
- TToki
- AAlfredo Castillo
- AAlejandro Belíjar
- JJavier Urquijo
- AAbad
- VVictor Gómez Sainz Aja
- DDavid Carasa
Guarnizo
- MMiguel Saza
- ÁÁlvaro Corral
- EEdu Fontán
- VVictor Orejuela
- DDavid Somaza
- DDavid Hoyuela Rivero
- MMario Ceballos
- PPablo Ruiz
- MMarcos Cagigas
- LLeguina
- VVía
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Castro have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Guarnizo have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2020 | Barreda(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Torina(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Cartes(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Vimenor(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Selaya(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2020 | Cartes(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Solares(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Vimenor(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Selaya(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 1-7 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 8; Guarnizo score 0.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 1.1 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/8 | 3/8 |
| Guarnizo | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Guarnizo sit 11th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guarnizo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Castro vs Guarnizo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy