Where and when is Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC played?

Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at ATCO Field, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)ATCO Field, Calgary, Alberta

Cavalry FC

Pacific FC

The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Pacific FC. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC?

Cavalry FC is a heavy favourite: 1,882 Elo points against 1,500, a 382-point gap.

Cavalry FC win84 %

Draw11 %

Pacific FC win5 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavalry FC have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Pacific FC have 0, 4 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cavalry FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(home)	3-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Forge(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 9, 2026	Supra du Quebec(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	York United(home)	5-0	Canadian Premier League
Jul 29, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League

Pacific FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Forge(away)	0-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Vancouver FC(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026	York United(home)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 1, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Jul 26, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(away)	2-3	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cavalry FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pacific FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Cavalry FC 3-0 Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League
May 9, 2026	Pacific FC 1-3 Cavalry FC	Canadian Championship
Apr 5, 2026	Pacific FC 1-2 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Oct 5, 2025	Pacific FC 3-3 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Aug 4, 2025	Pacific FC 1-0 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Jun 22, 2025	Cavalry FC 1-0 Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cavalry FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pacific FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cavalry FC	2.3	0.7	5	8/15	8/15
Pacific FC	0.9	2.1	0	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cavalry FC sit 2nd in Canadian Premier League (40 points from 18 matches) and Pacific FC sit 8th (5 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Cavalry FC	18	12	4	2	36	11	40
8	Pacific FC	17	0	5	12	18	36	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC?: The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Pacific FC.
Where and when is Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC played?: Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at ATCO Field, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.